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Move it through conjectured, preregistered, run, evidenced, claimed: Is A significantly more accurate than B (two-sided, 0.05)?\",\"role\":\"worker\",\"title\":\"Q2 is at stage 'conjectured' (2/8) of the scientific@2 workflow — no live hypothesis with predictions answers Q2. Move it through conjectured, preregistered, run, evidenced, claimed: Is A significantly more accurate than B (two-sided, 0.05)?\"}"},{"node":"na21df33af6f2","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:11+00:00","by":"analyst","reason":"","body":"{\"predictions\":[\"A is right on 814 of 1000 items.\"],\"statement\":\"The files settle Q1; the scripted prediction is what the record will be asked to bind: A is right on 814 of 1000 items.\"}"},{"node":"n152683ed9c8a","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:12+00:00","by":"stats","reason":"","body":"{\"predictions\":[\"A is not significantly more accurate than B (814 of 1000 vs 782 of 1000, p = 0.07).\"],\"statement\":\"The files settle Q2; the scripted prediction is what the record will be asked to bind: A is not significantly more accurate than B (814 of 1000 vs 782 of 1000, p = 0.07).\"}"},{"node":"n8a0760a7cabe","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:12+00:00","by":"analyst","reason":"","body":"{\"aim\":\"Test H1 for Q1 from the files.\",\"protocol\":\"import csv\\nrows = list(csv.DictReader(open('items.csv')))\\nk = sum(int(r['a']) for r in rows); n = len(rows)\\nprint('acc_a', k, 'of', n)\",\"success_criteria\":\"the prediction holds in the files, as registered values\"}"},{"node":"nf71226941277","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:12+00:00","by":"stats","reason":"","body":"{\"aim\":\"Test H2 for Q2 from the files.\",\"protocol\":\"import csv, math\\nrows = list(csv.DictReader(open('items.csv')))\\nn = len(rows)\\nka = sum(int(r['a']) for r in rows); kb = sum(int(r['b']) for r in rows)\\np = (ka + kb) / (2 * n); se = math.sqrt(p * (1 - p) * 2 / n); z = (ka - kb) / n / se\\npv = 2 * (1 - 0.5 * (1 + math.erf(abs(z) / math.sqrt(2))))\\nprint('a', ka, 'of', n); print('b', kb, 'of', n); print('p', round(pv, 4))\",\"success_criteria\":\"the prediction holds in the files, as registered values\"}"},{"node":"neb9ecd724633","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:13+00:00","by":"analyst","reason":"","body":"{\"config\":{\"language\":\"python\",\"source\":\"import csv\\nrows = list(csv.DictReader(open('items.csv')))\\nk = sum(int(r['a']) for r in rows); n = len(rows)\\nprint('acc_a', k, 'of', n)\"},\"kind\":\"agent\",\"name\":\"Q1 computation\",\"note\":\"import csv\\nrows = list(csv.DictReader(open('items.csv')))\\nk = sum(int(r['a']) for r in rows); n = len(rows)\\nprint('acc_a', k, 'of', n)\",\"state\":\"succeeded\"}"},{"node":"nb821c15f3ea4","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:13+00:00","by":"analyst","reason":"","body":"{\"kind\":\"computed\",\"summary\":\"Q1: Counted A's correct items in items.csv.\",\"values\":{\"acc_a\":{\"k\":814,\"n\":1000}}}"},{"node":"n0c1056242ee8","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:13+00:00","by":"analyst","reason":"","body":"{\"measurements\":[{\"k\":814,\"key\":\"acc_a\",\"n\":1000,\"name\":\"acc_a\",\"result\":\"nb821c15f3ea4\"}],\"scope\":\"The 1,000 paired items in items.csv.\",\"statement\":\"A is right on 814 of 1000 items.\"}"},{"node":"nc374cffa5cf5","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:13+00:00","by":"stats","reason":"","body":"{\"config\":{\"language\":\"python\",\"source\":\"import csv, math\\nrows = list(csv.DictReader(open('items.csv')))\\nn = len(rows)\\nka = sum(int(r['a']) for r in rows); kb = sum(int(r['b']) for r in rows)\\np = (ka + kb) / (2 * n); se = math.sqrt(p * (1 - p) * 2 / n); z = (ka - kb) / n / se\\npv = 2 * (1 - 0.5 * (1 + math.erf(abs(z) / math.sqrt(2))))\\nprint('a', ka, 'of', n); print('b', kb, 'of', n); print('p', round(pv, 4))\"},\"kind\":\"agent\",\"name\":\"Q2 computation\",\"note\":\"import csv, math\\nrows = list(csv.DictReader(open('items.csv')))\\nn = len(rows)\\nka = sum(int(r['a']) for r in rows); kb = sum(int(r['b']) for r in rows)\\np = (ka + kb) / (2 * n); se = math.sqrt(p * (1 - p) * 2 / n); z = (ka - kb) / n / se\\npv = 2 * (1 - 0.5 * (1 + math.erf(abs(z) / math.sqrt(2))))\\nprint('a', ka, 'of', n); print('b', kb, 'of', n); print('p', round(pv, 4))\",\"state\":\"succeeded\"}"},{"node":"na9d527936096","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:13+00:00","by":"stats","reason":"","body":"{\"kind\":\"computed\",\"summary\":\"Q2: Compared A and B on the same items with a two-sided two-proportion z-test.\",\"values\":{\"a\":{\"k\":814,\"n\":1000},\"b\":{\"k\":782,\"n\":1000},\"p\":{\"value\":0.0747}}}"},{"node":"nae250a07e2cf","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:13+00:00","by":"stats","reason":"","body":"{\"measurements\":[{\"k\":814,\"key\":\"a\",\"n\":1000,\"name\":\"a\",\"result\":\"na9d527936096\"},{\"k\":782,\"key\":\"b\",\"n\":1000,\"name\":\"b\",\"result\":\"na9d527936096\"},{\"key\":\"p\",\"name\":\"p\",\"result\":\"na9d527936096\",\"value\":0.0747}],\"scope\":\"The 1,000 paired items in items.csv; two-sided test at 0.05.\",\"statement\":\"A is not significantly more accurate than B (814 of 1000 vs 782 of 1000, p = 0.07).\"}"},{"node":"nf8e4bd0549ec","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:14+00:00","by":"instrument","reason":"","body":"{\"config\":{\"confirmed\":[\"acc_a\"],\"contradicted\":[],\"reproduces\":\"neb9ecd724633\",\"stdout_tail\":\"acc_a 814 of 1000\\n\",\"unprinted\":[]},\"kind\":\"lab\",\"name\":\"re-execution of RUN2\",\"note\":\"re-ran RUN2's registered code: 1 of 1 registered values confirmed by the output\",\"state\":\"succeeded\"}"},{"node":"n48756f8519d4","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:14+00:00","by":"instrument","reason":"","body":"{\"kind\":\"computed\",\"outcome\":\"positive\",\"summary\":\"Re-executed RUN2's code: 1 of 1 registered values confirmed by the output.\",\"values\":{\"acc_a\":{\"k\":814,\"n\":1000}}}"},{"node":"nefee5f6403ad","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:14+00:00","by":"instrument","reason":"","body":"{\"config\":{\"confirmed\":[\"a\",\"b\",\"p\"],\"contradicted\":[],\"reproduces\":\"nc374cffa5cf5\",\"stdout_tail\":\"a 814 of 1000\\nb 782 of 1000\\np 0.0747\\n\",\"unprinted\":[]},\"kind\":\"lab\",\"name\":\"re-execution of RUN3\",\"note\":\"re-ran RUN3's registered code: 3 of 3 registered values confirmed by the output\",\"state\":\"succeeded\"}"},{"node":"n8f4a7090aadb","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:14+00:00","by":"instrument","reason":"","body":"{\"kind\":\"computed\",\"outcome\":\"positive\",\"summary\":\"Re-executed RUN3's code: 3 of 3 registered values confirmed by the output.\",\"values\":{\"a\":{\"k\":814,\"n\":1000},\"b\":{\"k\":782,\"n\":1000},\"p\":{\"value\":0.0747}}}"},{"node":"n001663305346","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:14+00:00","by":"harness","reason":"","body":"{\"choice\":\"Accept T1: Q1 is at stage 'conjectured' (2/8) of the scientific@2 workflow — no live hypothesis with predictions answers Q1. Move it through conjectured, preregistered, run, evidenced, claimed: What is A's accur\",\"reasons\":\"settled by the record: every predicate met — every predicate met (hypothesis_stated: H1; preregistered: X1; run_registered: RUN2; result_exists: RS1; claim_made: CL1)\"}"},{"node":"n1e279be5c6d5","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:14+00:00","by":"harness","reason":"","body":"{\"assignee\":\"critic\",\"done_when\":[{\"p\":\"reviewed\"}],\"objective\":\"Q1 is at stage 'reviewed' (7/8) of the scientific@2 workflow. Review CL1, the claim that answers it: the order lists it, its values and what it rests on, and what the instrument's re-run confirmed — recompute only a value it CONTRADICTED; a value merely not printed is not evidence against. Judge the method and the wording against the question; record a verdict.\",\"role\":\"reviewer\",\"title\":\"Q1 is at stage 'reviewed' (7/8) of the scientific@2 workflow. Review CL1, the claim that answers it: the order lists it, its values and what it rests on, and what the instrument's re-run confirmed — recompute only a value it CONTRADICTED; a value merely not printed is not evidence against. Judge the\"}"},{"node":"na7c688283488","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:14+00:00","by":"harness","reason":"","body":"{\"choice\":\"Accept T2: Q2 is at stage 'conjectured' (2/8) of the scientific@2 workflow — no live hypothesis with predictions answers Q2. Move it through conjectured, preregistered, run, evidenced, claimed: Is A significantl\",\"reasons\":\"settled by the record: every predicate met — every predicate met (hypothesis_stated: H2; preregistered: X2; run_registered: RUN3; result_exists: RS2; claim_made: CL2)\"}"},{"node":"n3e3190c56eee","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:16+00:00","by":"critic","reason":"","body":"{\"method\":\"Read the result's code and values; the claim says what the result says.\",\"notes\":\"Numbers hold; wording stays within the evidence.\",\"official\":true,\"verdict\":\"checked\"}"},{"node":"n7ea8628c1b43","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:16+00:00","by":"harness","reason":"","body":"{\"choice\":\"Accept T3: Q1 is at stage 'reviewed' (7/8) of the scientific@2 workflow. Review CL1, the claim that answers it: the order lists it, its values and what it rests on, and what the instrument's re-run confirmed — r\",\"reasons\":\"settled by the record: every predicate met — every predicate met (reviewed: RV1)\"}"},{"node":"ndb439473218f","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:16+00:00","by":"harness","reason":"","body":"{\"assignee\":\"critic\",\"done_when\":[{\"p\":\"reviewed\"}],\"objective\":\"Q2 is at stage 'reviewed' (7/8) of the scientific@2 workflow. Review CL2, the claim that answers it: the order lists it, its values and what it rests on, and what the instrument's re-run confirmed — recompute only a value it CONTRADICTED; a value merely not printed is not evidence against. Judge the method and the wording against the question; record a verdict.\",\"role\":\"reviewer\",\"title\":\"Q2 is at stage 'reviewed' (7/8) of the scientific@2 workflow. Review CL2, the claim that answers it: the order lists it, its values and what it rests on, and what the instrument's re-run confirmed — recompute only a value it CONTRADICTED; a value merely not printed is not evidence against. Judge the\"}"},{"node":"ne6d28c93f1a0","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:18+00:00","by":"critic","reason":"","body":"{\"method\":\"Read the result's code and values; the claim says what the result says.\",\"notes\":\"Numbers hold; wording stays within the evidence.\",\"official\":true,\"verdict\":\"checked\"}"},{"node":"n9d70d5cbda04","v":1,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:19+00:00","by":"harness","reason":"","body":"{\"choice\":\"Accept T4: Q2 is at stage 'reviewed' (7/8) of the scientific@2 workflow. Review CL2, the claim that answers it: the order lists it, its values and what it rests on, and what the instrument's re-run confirmed — r\",\"reasons\":\"settled by the record: every predicate met — every predicate met (reviewed: RV2)\"}"},{"node":"n548c97647c6a","v":2,"at":"2026-10-27T00:29:21+00:00","by":"harness","reason":"the run ended","body":"{\"config\":{\"budget\":{\"max_calls\":120,\"max_usd\":0.5},\"data_tools\":[\"list_files\",\"read_file\",\"python\"],\"hypswarm\":\"0.1.0a6\",\"preamble_sha256\":\"31e94c15870f65d72c443ebd495fc03e6560f09fd5f1be7c6bb2772bb006470f\",\"seats\":[{\"model\":\"scripted-worker\",\"name\":\"analyst\",\"role\":\"worker\"},{\"model\":\"scripted-worker\",\"name\":\"stats\",\"role\":\"worker\"},{\"model\":\"scripted-reviewer\",\"name\":\"critic\",\"role\":\"reviewer\"},{\"model\":\"scripted-lead\",\"name\":\"lead\",\"role\":\"lead\"}]},\"kind\":\"agent\",\"name\":\"hypswarm 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a finding stands on independent lines of evidence (Popper; Center for Open Science).","questions":[{"question":"n777a6d18d253","code":"Q1","profile":"scientific@2","workflow":true,"stage":"reviewed","index":7,"of":8,"complete":true,"next":"","gates":[{"stage":"asked","gate":"stated","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["Q1"],"who":"lead"},{"stage":"conjectured","gate":"hypothesis_stated","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["H1"],"who":"lead / worker"},{"stage":"preregistered","gate":"preregistered","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["X1"],"who":"worker"},{"stage":"run","gate":"run_registered","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["RUN2"],"who":"worker, instrument"},{"stage":"evidenced","gate":"result_exists","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["RS1"],"who":"worker, instrument"},{"stage":"claimed","gate":"claim_made","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["CL1"],"who":"worker"},{"stage":"reviewed","gate":"reviewed","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["CL1"],"who":"reviewer"},{"stage":"decided","gate":"decided","met":false,"optional":true,"why":"no decision is based on a claim or result on Q1","evidence":[],"who":"lead"}]},{"question":"nadf4080aef68","code":"Q2","profile":"scientific@2","workflow":true,"stage":"reviewed","index":7,"of":8,"complete":true,"next":"","gates":[{"stage":"asked","gate":"stated","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["Q2"],"who":"lead"},{"stage":"conjectured","gate":"hypothesis_stated","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["H2"],"who":"lead / worker"},{"stage":"preregistered","gate":"preregistered","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["X2"],"who":"worker"},{"stage":"run","gate":"run_registered","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["RUN3"],"who":"worker, instrument"},{"stage":"evidenced","gate":"result_exists","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["RS2"],"who":"worker, instrument"},{"stage":"claimed","gate":"claim_made","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["CL2"],"who":"worker"},{"stage":"reviewed","gate":"reviewed","met":true,"optional":false,"why":"","evidence":["CL2"],"who":"reviewer"},{"stage":"decided","gate":"decided","met":false,"optional":true,"why":"no decision is based on a claim or result on Q2","evidence":[],"who":"lead"}]}],"stale":[]},"markdown":"## Facts from the research graph — INV1 Does A beat B (active)\n_Generated from the record at event 80; do not edit — regenerate it from the graph. Interpretation goes below this section._\n\n### Claims\n\n| claim | standing | review | verdicts | statement |\n|---|---|---|---|---|\n| CL1 v1 | active | checked | critic: checked (RV1, on v1) | A is right on 814 of 1000 items. |\n| CL2 v1 | active | checked | critic: checked (RV2, on v1) | A is not significantly more accurate than B (814 of 1000 vs 782 of 1000, p = 0.07). |\n\n### Results\n\n| result | outcome | by | carried by a claim | summary |\n|---|---|---|---|---|\n| RS1 | unstated | analyst | yes | Q1: Counted A's correct items in items.csv. |\n| RS2 | unstated | stats | yes | Q2: Compared A and B on the same items with a two-sided two-proportion z-test. |\n| RS3 | positive | instrument | NO | Re-executed RUN2's code: 1 of 1 registered values confirmed by the output. |\n| RS4 | positive | instrument | NO | Re-executed RUN3's code: 3 of 3 registered values confirmed by the output. |\n\n### Hypotheses\n\n- H1 (active; support lines 0, challenges 0): The files settle Q1; the scripted prediction is what the record will be asked to bind: A is right on 814 of 1000 items.\n- H2 (active; support lines 0, challenges 0): The files settle Q2; the scripted prediction is what the record will be asked to bind: A is not significantly more accurate than B (814 of 1…\n\n### Experiments\n\n- X1 tests H1: preregistered, run — Test H1 for Q1 from the files.\n- X2 tests H2: preregistered, run — Test H2 for Q2 from the files.\n\n### Workflow — Facts from the record (scientific@2)\n\n| question | stage | next gate |\n|---|---|---|\n| Q1 | reviewed (7/8) | complete |\n| Q2 | reviewed (7/8) | complete |\n\nStale evidence (a file it used was superseded or withdrawn, its page changed, or valid_until passed): none\n\n### Open items\n\n- claims not yet reviewed: none\n- claims contested: none\n- claims on stale evidence (what they rest on has changed since; a check of them no longer counts): none\n- results no claim carries (their conclusions are unreviewed): RS3, RS4\n- experiments not preregistered: none"},"profile":{"id":"scientific@2","name":"scientific","version":2,"about":"Questions answered by claims bound to measured results and checked by a reviewer — the engine's default. 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